Before we get to that, however, we offer a couple more
examples of what is wrong with many national analysts'
method of evaluating players, this time courtesy of
rivals.com. In their latest rankings of the top 100
players nationally in the class of 2010, they dropped
Waukegan's Jereme Richmond out of the top
20, as he currently checks in at 32. Not only that, but
according to the ridiculous star system that Rivals uses to
rank players, Richmond has dropped from five stars to four
stars.We are not sure what Rivals' basis was for dropping
Richmond down, but in our minds there is certainly no
justifiable reason for doing so, as Richmond has done
absolutely nothing to warrant it. Perhaps Rivals was going
on all of the scuttlebutt they had heard regarding
Richmond's "attitude" problems. Or more likely, it may have
had everything to do with the fact that Richmond did not
attend the recent NIKE Hoops Jamboree in
St. Louis, an event that Rivals had evaluators in attendance
for.
On the flip side, Simeon's Brandon Spearman
is Rivals' fourth highest ranked player in the
class from Illinois, as he is ranked 56th. While we like
Spearman as a prospect, we are a bit baffled by this one and
we do not understand what Rivals' rationale was behind the
ranking. We say this because Spearman was not one of the
main cogs in the wheel last season as a sophomore at Hales
Franciscan and since transferring to Simeon has played only
sparingly on the AAU circuit. The only possible explanation
we can come up with is that Spearman attended the
NIKE Hoops Jamboree. All of this is indicative once
again of the "big event" mentality that seems to encompass
most national analysts' methods of evaluation, where a
player can climb the ladder solely on the basis of a single
game performance.
With all of this in mind, the following are our
predictions on the four players who we think are most likely
to ascend the national rankings once the July evaluation
period is over and done with.
1) Lenzelle Smith 6'3 Jr. 2G Zion (Zion-Benton)
Team NLP
There is not a player in the state who has been more
disrespected on the national level than Smith, as Rivals
currently doesn't even have him ranked in the top 100 from
the class of 2010. He deserves to be mentioned in the same
breath as Jereme Richmond and
Crandall Head, yet he isn't. Perhaps it is because
he is perceived as a tweener, but anyone who has seen him on
a regular basis knows that is an entirely inaccurate
assessment. With Smith attending the Reebok
All-American Camp in Philadelphia as well as the
17-under Super Showcase and
17-under National AAU Tournament in Orlando, we are
willing to bet that the national perception of Smith is
going to change in a hurry and that he will be one of the
most talked about players during August.
2) Dyricus Simms-Edwards 6'1 Sr. PG Washington (H.S.)
Illinois Wolves
Despite an outstanding junior season at Washington in which
he helped lead his team to a fourth place finish in the
Class 3A state tournament, in the eyes of national analysts
he plays third fiddle on the Illinois Wolves
17-under traveling team behind Wisconsin
commit Diamond Taylor and Illinois
commit Joe Bertrand. Not only
that, but a number of mid-major programs who have worked
their tails off recruiting Simms-Edwards have to be shaking
in their boots over the possibility of him "blowing up"
during July and receiving high major scholarship offers.
There is no question that Wolves' AAU coach Mike
Mullins will do everything he can do to help get
Simms-Edwards recruited at the highest possible level.
Therefore, should Simms-Edwards turn in strong performances
during the July evaluation period, we look for his stock to
skyrocket.
3) Chris Colvin 6'1 Sr. PG Chicago (Whitney
Young) Chicago Express
Colvin has had an outstanding spring and has made a strong
case for becoming the #1 ranked prospect in Illinois from
the class of 2009. However, most all of his performances
during that time have gone unseen by national evaluators.
That is sure to change during July, as he will have the
opportunity to showcase himself at the Hoosier
Shootout in Indianapolis, the Chicago
Classic in Deerfield, IL and the NIKE Main
Event in Las Vegas, which is the center of the
basketball universe during the fourth week of July. Barring
a complete collapse, chances are very good that it will
result in Colvin attracting additional scholarship offers
and making a huge jump in the national rankings.
4) David Brown 6'3 Sr. 2G Rockton (Hononegah)
Illinois Warriors
We have not seen Brown play at all since the start of the
spring, as he played with the Madison Spartans
(as opposed to the Illinois Warriors)
when we were in attendance at the King James
Shooting Stars Classic in Akron, OH and was not
with his high school team at a recent team shootout that we
attended. We can also guarantee that our competitors haven't
seen Brown all that much either despite them continuing to
write about him. He also remains a mystery in the eyes of
the national analysts, as he is currently ranked only two
stars by one national service. However, college coaches
certainly know who Brown is, as he has attracted a multitude
of scholarship offers from the likes of DePaul,
Oklahoma State, Northwestern, Baylor, Cincinnati, Loyola,
Wright State, Northern Illinois, Illinois State, Western
Michigan and Eastern Illinois and
strong interest from plenty of others. People in Brown's
camp are touting him as one of the top three players in
Illinois from the class of 2009 with a chance to end up as
the best. We will find out for ourselves when we watch him
at the NIKE Peach Jam. If Brown lives up to
his billing during the July evaluation period, he could
rapidly become the most talked about player in the state.
There you have it--these are the four players who we
believe national evaluators will suddenly discover how good
they really are by the end of July, if not sooner. Should
that happen (and in all likelihood it will) all that we ask
is that people give credit to the local scouts and analysts
who knew about these kids long before they were suddenly
"discovered" by any of the national gurus.